Operating mode
Paper onlyNo live-order path is exposed by this portfolio demo.Paper-only market operations
KalshiEdge
A conservative BTC and ETH signal console for studying model-versus-market probability gaps under explicit readiness gates.
- Role
- Streaming systems · ML · Risk controls
- Year
- 2026
- Repository
- Private
01 / Interactive system slice
Inspect the workflow
Paper-only tool · deterministic market scenariosKALSHIEDGE // PAPER OPSLIVE ORDERS DISABLED
Deterministic paper scenario
BTC above $68k at 4pm
Market47%
Model55%
Gap+8pt
02 / Engineering evidence
Claims with boundaries
Derived from the local implementation and offline artifacts.Model input
9 featuresA compact feature contract with explicit freshness checks.Execution
ConservativeSimulated fills account for spread, liquidity, and slippage.Problem
Why this exists
A probability gap is not actionable when source data is stale, the book is thin, or the simulated fill assumes impossible liquidity.System
How it is bounded
Readiness gates validate freshness and book quality before scoring. A paper simulator then applies conservative fill rules and records why a candidate was accepted or blocked.Outcome
What the demo proves
An operations console that treats abstention as a valid system result and keeps research separate from live trading.Implementation surface
PythonFastAPIPostgreSQLRedisWebSocket
Building reliable data products?